Barbara Tewksbury
Doctor of Science
Commencement remarks
I was listening the other night to
the new reports about the recent flooding in New England. I was struck
when the news anchor remarked in a deeply concerned voice that these
were the worst floods that New England had seen in over 70 years. I
confess that I had an Eddie Izzard moment. You've seen the skit where
he pokes fun at Americans for their truncated view of what constitutes "old"?
I could just see him on stage intoning "..over 50 years ago!…no,
surely not…no! No one was alive back then!" The
geologist in me applauded that one. But I'm sure even he wasn't
thinking about time the way a geologist thinks about time. Geological
conversations typically go something like this, "Those rocks?
Oh, they're about 500 million years old, give or take a few million." (Which,
by the way, would be a true statement for the rocks we're sitting
on here.) Geologists toss millions of years around with tremendous
ease.
This is what geologists call "deep time".
Let's see if we can put it into perspective. I want you all to
turn around and look at the Herring Cole building down at the end
of the quad. Suppose we stretch a string from Herring-Cole to me
here at the podium. That string represents the history of the Earth.
We'll put the birth of the Earth at the Herring-Cole end and the
present, naturally, at my end. The Earth is about 4,600 million
years old, and one inch on our string represents 1 million years
of Earth history. So here's your challenge. Where would you put
a marker for the dinosaurs? What about for humans? I want everyone
to decide and to mark the spots in your mind.
So, let's start with those rocks right
underneath us. Where would they lie along our string? Remember that
I said a minute ago that they're about 500 million years old. 500
million years is 500" on
our string, divide by 12, which is about 42' from the podium. That's
about, ah, maybe 8 rows back. Huh. Spring chickens compared to the
age of the Earth. Well, OK, is this where our dinosaur marker should
go? Nope – 500 million years ago, there were no land plants.
No land animals. No fish. In fact, evolution had only just taken
a huge leap from algae and simple squishy marine things to a great
variety of marine organisms with shells and hard parts. So, if your
mental dinosaur marker (or your human marker!) is back beyond row
8, you'll need to make a few revisions!
So, where would we put the
dinosaurs? The first dinosaurs appeared around 230 million years
ago – that's about 20' from
the podium, back around row 4. They went extinct only 65 million
years ago. That's just 5' from the podium! Now, can you see why geologists
say "only" 65 million years ago? It's all relative.
Now comes the fun part. Humans. Our
small-brained, upright-walking hominid ancestors appeared only about
5 million years ago. I have a 5" file card up here, which represents those 5 million years
at the scale of our string. Even 1 million years ago, 1" from
the end, Homo sapiens, our species, had not yet evolved.
Fully modern humans didn't appear on the scene until less than 100,000
years ago. That's 1/10 of an inch from the end!! Now, if we think
of civilization, that's in the last 10,000 years, only 1/100 of an
inch from the end. And if we're talking about modern science and
technology, well, that's scarcely more than 100 years old, or 1/10,000
of an inch from the end!
Wow – the dinosaurs were around
for, how long, maybe 14' at our scale? And we've been around for
less than 1/10 of an inch, with modern society in just the last 1/10,000
of an inch??? I can't even cut off a sliver that small.
So, here's where I'm going with this
and why it's so important for us to think geologically, to be fluent
with "deep time".
Just how long do we want humans to be around on this Earth? Would
you settle for 100 years? Well, no, certainly not. That's likely
within the lifetimes of the children of those of you graduating today.
How about 1000 years? Would you settle for 1/1000 of an inch? What
if you wanted 1/10 of an inch, or even a whole inch?? Even that's
not much compared to the dinosaurs, but it's a staggeringly long
time compared to the 70 years that shocked the news anchor reporting
on the New England floods.
What will it take to have humans make
it another 1/1000 of an inch, or 1000 years? That's about the
thickness of a human hair on our scale. Well, it kind of depends
on what you want life to be like. We're a civilization that depends
profoundly on non-renewable resources, and we're extracting and using
resources at a staggering rate. I can't think of a single vital resource
that is projected to have reserves lasting more than decades or,
at most, a couple hundred years. The Earth simply does not have
the resources in the ground to fuel our kind of society for that
next 1/1000 of an inch.
So, what will happen? Personally, I think the conclusion is inescapable
that the solution, if we can find one, will come from advances in
science and technology. The answer will not come from money managers,
lawyers, doctors, pro sports, or, if you'll excuse me, Hollywood.
If we cannot develop profoundly new technologies that use different
resources and use resources differently, human society as we know
it will simply be unsustainable.
So where do you come in, those of you who are graduating today?
I sincerely hope that you will do three things. First, reduce your
footprint on the Earth to make our resources last as long as possible
while we evolve new technologies for the future. If you want the
human race to have a shot at just another 1/1000 of an inch, don't
insist on having the newest and the biggest. Buy a fuel-efficient
car and keep it until it wears out. Buy a small house instead of
building a McMansion. Rake your leaves instead of using a leaf blower.
Recycle everything that you can. The list is endless, and every person
can make a difference.
Second, learn enough about the Earth
that you can make smart choices about where to live. If you build
right on the shore, in the middle of a floodplain, across a fault, in
a desert where there isn't enough water, or in the shadow of a
volcano, you will eventually cost society a lot when we pay big
bucks to bail you out. And if our society spends only to maintain
itself, we won't have a shot at that next 1/1000 of an inch.
And last, support research in science and technology. Encourage
your children to study math and science. Support government funding
for basic research. And support NASA and the private-sector exploration
of space. If we want another inch for the human race, we may need
to seek it in the stars.
Thank you for this honor today and for the privilege of having this
opportunity to speak to you.